Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 88.823356 101.197635 115.637147 133.982631 157.046402 185.618931 2.245949e+02
2024-10-20 72.222698 87.641627 107.535315 136.003718 177.411590 238.647756 3.435352e+02
2024-10-27 61.996205 78.092288 100.170930 134.299584 189.263576 282.388497 4.770736e+02
2024-11-03 57.432476 74.756427 99.863612 141.596837 216.017224 362.216237 7.538807e+02
2024-11-10 56.125690 75.536652 105.326215 158.921233 266.519962 522.141107 1.527568e+03
2024-11-17 51.598380 70.759661 101.145455 158.448038 282.400839 618.239477 2.452644e+03
2024-11-24 47.825165 66.618406 97.254825 157.432211 296.665486 725.371766 4.203646e+03
2024-12-01 44.238540 62.349094 92.496544 153.610898 302.855396 815.801912 7.241482e+03
2024-12-08 41.570402 59.284889 89.406514 152.497065 315.734328 952.181804 1.681788e+04
2024-12-15 39.525611 57.041475 87.473710 153.404803 334.877174 1153.758583 8.553129e+04
2024-12-22 37.017917 53.795046 83.316471 148.582963 335.219488 1263.078502 1.360058e+06
2024-12-29 36.160880 53.291807 84.225061 155.545108 376.916115 1760.101287 NaN
2025-01-05 33.568766 49.737295 79.224444 148.336811 370.094257 1904.481052 NaN
2025-01-12 32.177224 48.223746 78.120496 150.752859 401.900195 2644.149584 NaN
2025-01-19 30.521205 46.090247 75.514820 148.767755 415.805317 3345.633684 NaN
2025-01-26 29.944367 45.857077 76.742253 157.288754 483.508098 6401.361114 NaN
2025-02-02 30.240095 47.254784 81.589204 177.657729 640.144148 33959.220721 NaN
2025-02-09 29.001910 45.627477 79.621745 177.098826 677.664260 99035.918951 NaN
2025-02-16 27.834148 44.049973 77.592764 175.899481 711.766562 747079.974948 NaN
2025-02-23 26.562929 42.187428 74.733188 171.393673 718.334774 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.581784 40.834951 72.925760 170.082074 751.160044 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.809086 39.845609 71.868665 171.150925 808.763969 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.727403 38.176685 69.059106 165.479324 798.240284 NaN NaN